Thursday, March 28, 2013

2013 MLB Season Preview


I was going to write my all too familiar one or two paragraph lead in here.  You know, about the green grass, the excitement in the air, and all that sentimental baseball stuff.  But it’s cold in Boston, the Red Sox are coming off a last place finish, and frankly, nobody in their right mind is excited for 162 freaking baseball games.  The only people excited for April and May baseball are the gamblers.  So I’m going to cut it short.  Like…now.

American League

East Division

1. New York Yankees- Their entire lineup is disintegrating except for Robinson Cano, who just so happens to be in a contract year.  I can already see the Yankees struggling through the first two months before picking up steam (as always) in the summer and before we know it, it’s October 1st and they’re in first place in the East.  And we’ll all feel terrible about ourselves.
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2. Tampa Bay Rays- The Rays are going to be there at the end of the season, no matter how inept their offense is or who leaves in free agency.  Joe Maddon (right) is the best manager in the game, and David Price and Matt Moore are a pair of southpaw Aces that can beat anyone.  I’ve got them in the wildcard.

3. Baltimore Orioles- A good young roster headlined by Adam Jones, Matt Wieters, and Manny Machado, the O’s could repeat as East champs or sink to the bottom.  I’ve got them right in the middle.

4. Boston Red Sox- The roster isn’t much better than it was last season, and even if Bobby V’s circus has left town, this is still a tough division to rebuild on the fly in.  I don’t think they have the pitching to compete this season.

5. Toronto Blue Jays- They traded for the same big name players that got Miami a fifth place finish last year, as well as a 38-year-old breakout knuckleballer who pitched in the most pitcher-friendly park in the majors in Citi Field.  I’m not buying the Jays.


Central Division

1. Detroit Tigers- They’ve got an elite rotation and the best 3-4 in the league in Cabrera and Fielder.  Easily the cream of the crop in this division.

2. Chicago White Sox- Chris Sale (below) is an Ace, and they can still mash it.  The White Sox are a good, consistent bet to be there until September.
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3. Kansas City Royals- They’re the talk of the spring, but also the Royals.  So I averaged it out to third place.

4. Cleveland Indians- They’ve got some good young players and a solid manager in Terry Francona.  But this division has some good veteran teams and I can’t see Cleveland matching up over the long haul.

5. Minnesota Twins- They’re clearly the worst team in the division on paper.  It’s years like this that they always surprise though.


West Division

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1. Los Angeles/Anaheim Angels- They continued to add big names this offseason, landing Josh Hamilton (right) to join a lineup that already features Pujols, Trout, and Trumbo.  They’re too talented to miss the playoffs again.

2. Oakland Athletics- They’ve got a great rotation of homegrown arms, and a pesky lineup that does enough to get the job done.  Billy Beane has built the model franchise for a small market team.  I’ve got them in the wildcard.

3. Texas Rangers- Hamilton was a loss, but that lineup is still terrific with Cruz, Beltre, Young, Andrus, and Kinsler.  I just don’t know if they’ve got the pitching to match Tampa or Oakland.  They’ll be in the thick of things, but I’ve got them missing the playoffs.

4. Seattle Mariners- Good news, Mariner fans!  The Astros are here, so you won’t come in last!  (also Felix Hernandez isn’t leaving for a while.)

5. Houston Astros- I have nothing to say on this one.  Houston still has a problem in the talent department.


Awards

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-Rookie of the Year- Will Myers, Rays- The Rays didn’t trade James Shields for him to sit in the minors all season.  He’s got pop.

-Manager of the Year- Joe Girardi, Yankees- I’ve got the Yanks defying the odds and winning the East.  It’ll be an easy choice if that happens.

-CY Young- Justin Verlander, Tigers- Can’t go wrong betting on the best pitcher on the planet right now.

-MVP- Robinson Cano (left), Yankees:  I’m expecting a .340/30/100 season in his walk year, and if the Yanks win the division he’ll be hard to beat.


Playoffs

Wildcard- Rays over A’s
Divisional Round- Tigers over Rays, Angels over Yankees
Championship Round- Angels over Tigers.



National League

East Division

1. Atlanta Braves- This offense is downright scary, as I’m expecting Jason Heyward to really step it up this year as a franchise player, and now they have the Uptons too.  Throw in Brian McCann, Freddie Freeman, and some young players all over the roster (they might have the best farm system in the game), and I’m penciling the Braves in to win the East.

2. Washington Nationals- They’re America’s sweethearts right now, and probably the favorites in the National League.  But I can’t see them having the offense to keep up with Atlanta, and young teams are never a sure thing.

3. Philadelphia Phillies- They have a pretty God-awful offense, and Doc Halladay hasn’t looked himself thus far.  But just about anyone could finish in third in this division.

4. New York Mets- The Mets had a pretty quiet offseason, with the exception of the R.A. Dickey trade.  Good to see they aren’t going to destroy any careers this year.

5. Miami Marlins- This.
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Central Division

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1. St. Louis Cardinals- No matter who they lose, they’ll always be good.  They’re like the opposite of the Mets in that regard.  A safe bet to be there in October, they’re my pick in this division.

2. Cincinnati Reds- The Aroldis Chapman (right) starter thing is the story to watch here.  I’m saying the Reds will contend for the division and the wild-card, but narrowly miss out on both.


3. Milwaukee Brewers- If Ryan Braun ever actually gets reprimanded for using PEDs they’ll be in trouble.  Til then, they’re competitive.

4. Pittsburgh Pirates- I’ll believe they’re good when I see it.

5. Chicago Cubs- The sky is blue, the ball is white, and the Cubs aren’t going to win the World Series.  My three guarantees for 2013.


West Division

1. Arizona Diamondbacks- I’m loving the D’Backs this year.  Read my piece on their spring training stuff.  They’ve got great pitching, and good karma for being covered by me for a week.

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2. San Francisco Giants- They still have the best pitching in the league, and Bruce Bochy is pretty smart.  Put it this way, they won the World Series last year and Lincecum wasn’t even Lincecum.  I’ve got them in the wild-card.  

3. Los Angeles Dodgers- They spent a lot of money.  That doesn’t equate to wins.  Too many injury-prone guys in that lineup, namely Kemp (left) and Ramirez.


4. San Diego Padres- In honor of Spanish Heritage month I’m not slotting the Padres in 5th.

5. Colorado Rockies- Can you name one pitcher on the Rockies?  Neither can I.



Awards

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-Rookie of the Year- Julio Tehran, Braves- The Braves’ fifth starter is a former top prospect who seems to have his head back in a good place.  He’ll be an X-Factor in their quest for the East.

-Manager of the Year- Kirk Gibson, Diamondbacks- Do you believe… what you just saw?

-CY Young- Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers- Like Verlander, it’s just easy to go with the best pitcher in the league in this spot.


-MVP- Jason Heyward, Braves- I’ve got an inkling Heyward finally busts through this year.  35 homers, 120 RBI, and 25 steals with a .300 average?  I can see it coming.


Playoffs

Wildcard- Nationals over Giants
Divisional Round- Nationals over Braves, Cardinals over Diamondbacks
Championship Round- Cardinals over Nationals


World Series Pick

Angels over Cardinals
WS MVP:  Mike Trout
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